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The results of a new PPP poll of 1,306 likely Alaska voters conducted August 27-28, show that Joe Miller would would not only defeat Democrat Scott McAdams in a two-way race, but the Palin-backed conservative would also beat McAdams and Lisa Murkowski in a three-way contest, though it would be a much closer race.
Miller leads Scott McAdams 47-39 in a two-way contest. Sampling by the Democrat pollsters for a three-way race with Murkowski running on the Libertarian ticket show that the incumbent Senator would indeed split the vote, but Miller is still on top with 38 percent to Murkowski's 34 percent and 22 percent for McAdams.
Such a three-way contest is, of course highly speculative. It's not known whether the Libertarian party in Alaska would replaceDavid Haase, its current candidate for Senate , with Murkowski even if Haase agreed to do so, which he has not. Even the two-way race is speculative at this point, because thousands of absentee ballots remain uncounted, and the GOP nominee for the November election is still to be determined. Also bear in mind that PPP are Democrat pollsters, and their track record isn't exactly sterling. The Article by Tom Jensen at the PPP blog is a ludicrous spin job. McAdams has absolutely zero chance of pulling out a win, even if it does turn out to be a three-way race, which itself is highly unlikely.
Meanwhile, another Republican candidate endorsed by Gov. Palin has a double digit lead over her Democrat opponent. A Rasmussen survey of likely voters in South Carolina has Nikki Haley well out in front of Vincent Sheheen by a 16-point margin, 52 percent to 36 percent.
Update: An Albuquerque Journal poll in New Mexico reveals that Republican Susana Martinez (R) has the early lead over Democrat Diane Denish in the governor's race. Martinez, who has the endorsement of Sarah Palin, leads Denish 45 percent to 39 percent with 16 percent undecided. An interesting internal in that poll shows Martinez picked off the support of one in every five Democrats.
- JP
All well and good, BUT, first I don't put any faith in PPP polls, they have been consistently wrong throughout the primaries. Their most recent blunder was showing Jane Norton beating Ken Buck TWO days before the Colorado primary.
ReplyDeleteSecond, how can anyone beleive any poll coming out of Alaska after last week. The state is notoriously difficult to poll, and the polls have all been wrong going all the way back to Sarah's run for governor. This includes the local pollsters as well including Dittman, Moore and Hayes
Josh - as a follow up to my comments dismissing this PPP poll, you should read this week's "Alaska Ear" column at the ADN.com. She discusses people getting these polling calls from PPP and the questions they asked.
ReplyDeleteIn addition to polling this race, they also asked questions about Sarah's popularity and presidential ambitions - and then get this - they asked questions about Levi Johnston's popularity and a question about whether "you can see Russia fron Alaska".
Now, did they ask those questions about Levi and seeing Russia from Alaska before asking the questions about Sarah's popularity - or after as final questions. If they asked them before, this is nothing but a "push poll" where you aak a lot of negative questions about a candidate before you ask about that candidate's popularity in order negatively bias the respondent before they answer the question about the candidate.
PPP has been exposed here as simply being a hack "push polling firm" probably being paid by the DNC. The question now is what other types of questions have they used in their other polls to condition responses they want. Absolutely disgusting!!