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Natalie Nichols, at Big Government:
“If the Republican Presidential race were a poker game, you could say that Palin, the underdog has remained in late position long enough to see the full ring, to expose the live ones. She’s learned their tells, and she’s seen some bust, but now it’s time for her to go all in with what looks to be a royal flush. If you’re not a poker player, you may need a poker dictionary to decipher my analogy. And ‘they’ think she doesn’t know how the game of politics is played. The good old boys just never realized that she wasn’t playing by their rules. If, or rather when, Sarah Palin announces her candidacy for President; Republican polls will likely shift in her favor. There are droves of Republicans and Independents who like Sarah Palin and what she stands for. But if there is one common thread you will hear as a negative, it is ‘but I don’t think she can win.’ Yet she continues to pack in larger crowds than declared presidential candidates. The media loves to hate her, and to her credit, she’s probably the most highly-vetted potential candidate the country has ever seen. It’s looking more and more these days as if Sarah Palin will announce her run for the White House in short order.”Scott Conroy, at RealClearPolitics:
“Speculation that Palin might use the Labor Day weekend event to declare her candidacy has ramped up on cable news and the conservative blogosphere, but RCP has learned from sources close Palin that an official announcement is unlikely at that time.”Jonathan Weisman and Neil King Jr., at the Wall Street Journal:
“After a week of intense campaign activity that was supposed to clarify the Republican presidential field, the clamor for new entrants has intensified, with fresh hints from Sarah Palin that she could jump in and pressure mounting on New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan to join the race... Despite the clamor, only former Alaska Gov. Palin is making moves suggestive of an actual presidential run.”Karl Rove, changing his tune on “Fox News Sunday”:
“I'm not much of a gambler, but I'd put a little more money that she gets in than if she doesn't.”Stacy McCain, at The Other McCain:
“I called up [O4P's Michelle] McCormick to ask if she believed that an announcement was in the works for the September 3 ‘Restoring America’ rally, and the Iowa for Palin volunteer wasn't sure. ‘People think if [Palin's speech] doesn't say, Hi, I'm Sarah Palin, I'm running for president, it will be not a good deal. But I really think she's going to give a monster speech.’ The only two people who really know what Palin is planning, McCormick said, are Sarah and Todd. The rest of us will just have to wait until she announces.”Peter Ingemi, via Twitter:
“I'd like to see @sarahpalinusa make a major announcement in the middle of the desert just to watch it draw the media there in droves. #fun”Bryan Preston, at Pajamas Media:
“In some ways, this will-she-or-won’t-she mirrors Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s campaign kickoff in August. The signals all pointed to Perry announcing a run at the RedState event in South Carolina, but there was just enough wiggle room to keep the expectation building right up to the moment Perry officially announced. Palin could be, and probably is, doing the same thing with her Sept 3 Iowa speech. There is a GOP debate at the Reagan Library on Sept 7. That debate’s location makes it a natural place for Palin and every other GOP contender to stake their claim to the Reagan mantle, so my gut call is that if she plans to announce, Sept 3 is the date, to set up her first moment on stage alongside the other contenders at the Reagan Library debate. Giving a ‘major, major speech’ on Sept 3 and then passing on the big debate that follows just a few days later doesn’t make a great deal of strategic sense.”Jim Campbell, at Dancing Czars:
“Sarah Palin, deservedly should be the recipient of the Most Underrated Woman in the World [award].”Nate Silver, at the NYT's FiveThirtyEight:
“As an insurgent conservative, she’d be moving onto some very crowded turf, having quite a bit of overlap with Mrs. Bachmann, Mr. Perry and Mr. Cain. I’m not sure that all of these candidates could survive Ms. Palin’s entry, even in the immediate term. Mr. Cain might be the first to fall; his momentum seemed to peak several months ago. Mrs. Bachmann also has stopped her ascent up the national polls — although she’s doing well in Iowa– and Ms. Palin would take a bite out of her support. Mr. Perry might be less vulnerable, but with Ms. Palin running, the effect of future mistakes might be magnified.”Donald R. McClarey, at The American Catholic:
“ I think it is clear that Sarah Palin is going to run for President. I have two modest predictions to make if she does get in: 1. She will win the Republican nomination. 2. She will beat Obama decisively in the general election, gaining over 300 electoral votes.”AWR Hawkins, at Big Government:
“So what happens if she gets in and gets the nomination? What if the race ends up being Palin v. Obama? If it does, Obama may find out how Walter Mondale felt after running against Reagan in 1984. But he will surely find out how Jimmy Carter felt when he faced Reagan in 1980. Skeptics notwithstanding, this is so because Palin v. Obama will pit faith in the American people against faith in government. In so doing, it will allow Palin to tell us again and again of how this country is great because of salt-of-the-earth Americans who love their families, their God, and their country, while Obama stands on the other side of a teleprompter telling us everything will be fine if we just pass another stimulus bill, raise taxes, and allow government to reach even further into the private sector via increased regulation and oversight.”Lexi Stemple, of Fox News:
“Former Majority Leader Dick Armey (R-Texas) is very clear Texas Governor Rick Perry isn't guaranteed the Tea Party vote, and that some activists in the movement have serious reservations about him... As for rising speculation former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin may join the race, that thought intrigues Armey. He will be looking to see if Palin has a broader appeal than the current crop of candidates.”Mark Whittington, at Associated Content:
“A new video about former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's recent bus trip that included first in the nation caucus state Iowa, entitled "Iowa Passion," is fueling speculation that Palin intends to run for president of the United States. Meanwhile, ABC News is reporting Palin's husband Todd is urging her to go for it and announce for the presidency... The Obama campaign, perhaps using a superficial judgment, is said to be eager to run against her. It may be a case, however, of not being careful about one wishes for. Palin is a formidable campaigner, as the 2008 race proved. The three years hence has shown that she had become even more seasoned and ready from prime time.”Sen. John McCain, on CBS' “Face the Nation”:
“I think she would be very formidable.”myiq2xu, at The Crawdad Hole:
“In June the media said Sarah needed to enter the race before it was too late. Just two weeks ago the media was saying it was probably too late already, her window of opportunity had passed, the field was too crowded and Michele Bachmann had usurped Sarah’s place... As usual, Sarah ignored the media. Last weekend, two things happened. Bachmann won the all-important but meaningless Ames Straw Poll and Rick Perry entered the race. Oh yeah, and some guy named “T-paw” dropped out. Suddenly (according to the media) there was plenty of room and time for new candidates to enter the race.”Exit Quote - Richard Roeper, author of Bet the House:
“Living in the past is a Jethro Tull album, not a smart poker strategy.”- JP
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